IGA Capital Weekly Market Update

Date: Monday, June 16, 2025

Global Market Summary

Markets showed mixed performance as investors positioned for upcoming FOMC decisions. The S&P 500 rose modestly by 0.8%, closing at 5,977, while the Nasdaq outperformed with a 1.3% gain, driven by tech momentum. The Dow Jones lagged slightly, down 0.4%.

Volatility increased, with the VIX climbing 11.7% to 20.06, reflecting investor caution.

Interest Rates & Fed Policy

Fed Funds Futures imply a gradual easing cycle:

• Implied rate by December 2025: 3.83%

• Current Effective Fed Funds Rate: 4.33%

• 10-Year Treasury yield: 4.42%, slightly lower by 6 bps week-over-week

The market continues to price in rate cuts into 2026, with the Fed Dot Plot indicating a median projection of 3.875% by year-end 2025.

Commodities & Metals

A strong week for precious metals:

• Gold surged to $3,416.58, up 5.4% on the week and 74.5% YoY

• Silver climbed to $36.42, a 11.6% weekly jump

• Oil bounced to $72.57, up 18.5% MoM amid Middle East supply risks

Copper-gold ratio analysis remains consistent with a stable yield environment.

Digital Assets: Bitcoin (BTC)

• Current Price: ~$107,611 USD (intraday range: $104,601 – $107,732) 

• 24‑Hour Performance: +1.9%, regaining the $106k–$107k levels 

• Market Trend:

  • Stabilizing around $106k–$107k after recent volatility due to geopolitical uncertainties 

  • Analysts highlight renewed investor positioning in BTC options, with bullish short-term sentiment 
    

Sovereign Yields & FX

• Germany: 10yr yield at 2.54%, down 4 bps

• UK: 4.55%, steady despite inflation surprises

• Japan: 1.40%, still sharply higher YoY as the BoJ shifts policy

• USD strengthened against major currencies, with the Euro down 3.6% MoM and the JPY weakening by 1.1%

Outlook

The coming week includes:

• June 18: FOMC Meeting

• June 19: Markets closed for Juneteenth

• Focus: CPI follow-through, Fed tone, crypto market technicals.

IGA Capital remains focused on guiding clients through market volatility with tailored investment strategies across traditional and alternative assets including private placements, commodities, digital finance, and cross-border debt/equity structuring. IGA Capital remains at the forefront, helping clients structure and syndicate capital in this dynamic environment, with a special focus on cross-border opportunities, digital finance, and emerging market infrastructure.

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